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Politik Luar Negeri Indonesia Pasca Pemilu 2024: Reposisi Status Sebagai Negara Besar
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| Pengarang | : | Rosyidin, Mohamad |
| Nama Majalah/Jurnal | : | Analisis CSIS |
| Volume / Edisi | : | 53 (No. 1) |
| Halaman | : | 1-34 |
| Abstrak | : | Dalam tulisan ini argumen bahwa corak kebijakan luar negeri Indonesia di bawah pemerintahan Prabowo Subianto akan diwarnai oleh perubahan dan juga keberlanjutan. Di satu sisi, kebijakan luar negeri knat dipengaruhi ideologi nasionalisme serta mengadopsi mentalitas negara besar dengan menitikberatkan pada cara pandang yang berpusat pada Indonesia (Indonesia first). Implikasinya, fokus kebijakan luar negeri adalah penguatan kapabilitas nasional, terutama ekonomi dan militer. Hal ini dalam rangka upaya meningkatkan status Indonesia sebagai negara kuat. Di sisi lain, peran kepemimpinan Indonesia di kancah global tetap tinggi untuk membangun reputasi demi mendapatkan pengakuan atas status Indonesia. pemerintahan sebelumnya alib-alib sebuah perubahan? |
Detecting unobserved heterogeneity in efficient prices via classifier-lasso
| Pengarang | : | Su, Liangjun,Huang, Wenxin |
| Nama Majalah/Jurnal | : | Journal of Business and Economic Statistics |
| Volume / Edisi | : | 41 (No. 2) |
| Halaman | : | 509-522 |
| Abstrak | : | This article proposes a new measure of efficient price as a weighted average of bid and ask prices, where the weights are constructed from the bid-ask long-run relationships in a panel error-correction model (ECM). To allow for heterogeneity in the long-run relationships, we consider a panel ECM with latent group structures so that all the stocks within a group share the same long-run relationship and do not otherwise. We extend the Classifier-Lasso method to the ECM to simultaneously identify the individual’s group membership and estimate the group-specific long-run relationship. We establish the uniform classification consistency and good asymptotic properties of the post-Lasso estimators under some regularity conditions. Empirically, we find that more than 30% of the Standard & Poor’s (S&P) 1500 stocks have estimated efficient prices significantly deviating from the midpoint—a conventional measure of efficient price. Such deviations explored from our data-driven method can provide dynamic information on the extent and direction of informed trading activities. |
Locally stationary multiplicative volatility modeling
| Pengarang | : | - |
| Nama Majalah/Jurnal | : | Journal of Business and Economic Statistics |
| Volume / Edisi | : | 41 (No. 2) |
| Halaman | : | 497-508 |
| Abstrak | : | In this article, we study a semiparametric multiplicative volatility model, which splits up into a nonparametric part and a parametric GARCH component. The nonparametric part is modeled as a product of a deterministic time trend component and of further components that depend on stochastic regressors. We propose a two-step procedure to estimate the model. To estimate the nonparametric components, we transform the model and apply a backfitting procedure. The GARCH parameters are estimated in a second step via quasi maximum likelihood. We show consistency and asymptotic normality of our estimators. Our results are obtained using mixing properties and local stationarity. We illustrate our method using financial data. Finally, a small simulation study illustrates a substantial bias in the GARCH parameter estimates when omitting the stochastic regressors. |
Toward a decolonial-liberation orientation for psychological practice: Humanization, praxis, and the African wisdom of Sankofa.
| Pengarang | : | Harrell, Shelly P.; Comas-Díaz, Lillian; Bryant, Thema. |
| Nama Majalah/Jurnal | : | American Psychologist |
| Volume / Edisi | : | 80 (No. 4) |
| Halaman | : | 670-684 |
| Abstrak | : | Inspired by applications of decolonial and liberation psychologies shared by authors in the American Psychologist special issue “Practicing Decolonial and Liberation Psychologies,” implications for a decolonial-liberation orientation are explored. The African wisdom of Sankofa (“go back and get it”) is presented as an Indigenous cultural foundation that grounds the orientation in the interconnectedness of past (origins/ancestors), present (current lived experience/community), and future (possibilities/descendants). Centered in the overarching tenet of humanization, a decolonial-liberation orientation for psychological practice operates from the premise that, due to the deleterious impacts of coloniality and oppression on human experience at multiple socioecological levels of analysis, decolonizing and liberatory processes and practices are necessary for global rehumanization and healing, optimal development, transformative change, and positive health. The authors discuss decolonial-liberation psychology praxis as cycles of experience-reflection-action that characterize the activity of the orientation. Using Bryant’s (2024) trauma recovery framework, the diverse practices described in this special issue are highlighted as expressions of decolonial-liberation praxis. Recent steps taken by the American Psychological Association that are consistent with decoloniality are described. The authors conclude by offering a preliminary set of principles for decolonial-liberation psychology praxis that integrate core themes from the special issue articles with current scholarship. The authors invite psychologists (and psychology) to engage in decolonizing and liberatory processes and practices in the service of the American Psychological Association’s stated mission to benefit society, improve lives, and positively impact social issues. |
Our stories of origins: Decolonial healing through zines and zine-making.
| Pengarang | : | Liu, Rossina Zamora; Liu, William Ming; Charity, Crystal Jean; Le, Vi Bao; Payne, Rolonda L.; Escobal, Lei Danielle; Nguyen, Jessica; Tran, Imara; Nguyen, Shelly. |
| Nama Majalah/Jurnal | : | American Psychologist |
| Volume / Edisi | : | 80 (No. 4) |
| Halaman | : | 655-669 |
| Abstrak | : | Zine-making can facilitate our remembering of origin stories and experiential knowledge around our differential racializations within coloniality; it can illuminate who we are in relation to systemic racism and power and, importantly, how we might work toward liberatory futures for self and community. In this article, we describe how psychology can be transformed through zines and zine-making. As expressions of insurgencies, resistance, and protest, zines are self-publications that often comprise “writing, photography, collage, illustration and/or other creative work” (Watson & Bennett, 2021, p. 115), and they can look like mini-booklets, vision boards, dioramas, origamis, mobiles, or any kind of creative, mixed form made of found and repurposed materials (e.g., old letters, family photos, cardboard boxes, newspapers). Grounded in Critical Race counter-storytelling methodology (Solórzano & Yosso, 2002), rematriation (Gray, 2022), and Blafemme (Mosley, 2023), our zine-making workshop series invite youth of Color in middle and high school to examine their experiences as racialized people in the United States. We focus our discussions on the zines and zine-making processes of seven Black and Asian American women in our workshop. We reflect on ways that psychologists and educators could consider zine-making in clinical, teaching, and research practices. As a hands-on praxis toward decolonial healing, zine-making amplifies our experiential knowledge, encourages collective well-being, fosters critical consciousness, and helps cultivate cross-racial solidarity. |
Indigenous healing movements in China and the Philippines: Possibilities and challenges for decolonial and liberation psychologies.
| Pengarang | : | Zhou, Xiang; Tuason, Ma. Teresa. |
| Nama Majalah/Jurnal | : | American Psychologist |
| Volume / Edisi | : | 80 (No. 4) |
| Halaman | : | 643-654 |
| Abstrak | : | In response to enduring historical colonialism and contemporary neocolonial influences, Indigenous Psychology movements in Asia have emerged as a counterforce to Western-centric hegemonic psychology. These movements strive for holistic healing that is deeply rooted in diverse local practices and wisdom. This introductory article positions Indigenous Psychology movements within the broader discourse on decolonial and liberation psychologies, highlighting their significance in the Chinese and Filipino cultural contexts. We briefly describe the history of these movements and explore various Indigenous healing approaches, from “indigenizing from without” to “indigenizing from within,” a conceptual framework developed by Filipino psychologist Virgilio Enriquez in 1994. While recognizing the decolonial and liberatory potential of these movements, we also confront their challenges and limitations, such as the limited scope of representation of indigeneity and insufficient focus on historical trauma and colonial mentality. We advocate for a developmental approach to understand the evolution of Indigenous Psychology movements, culminating in a stage of “reclamation.” The article concludes by delineating practical implications for incorporating these Indigenous perspectives into broader psychological practices. |
Proper scoring rules for evaluating density forecasts with asymmetric loss functions
| Pengarang | : | - |
| Nama Majalah/Jurnal | : | Journal of Business and Economic Statistics |
| Volume / Edisi | : | 41 (No. 2) |
| Halaman | : | 482-496 |
| Abstrak | : | This article proposes a novel asymmetric continuous probabilistic score (ACPS) for evaluating and comparing density forecasts. It generalizes the proposed score and defines a weighted version, which emphasizes regions of interest, such as the tails or the center of a variable’s range. The (weighted) ACPS extends the symmetric (weighted) CRPS by allowing for asymmetries in the preferences underlying the scoring rule. A test is used to statistically compare the predictive ability of different forecasts. The ACPS is of general use in any situation where the decision-maker has asymmetric preferences in the evaluation of the forecasts. In an artificial experiment, the implications of varying the level of asymmetry in the ACPS are illustrated. Then, the proposed score and test are applied to assess and compare density forecasts of macroeconomic relevant datasets (U.S. employment growth) and of commodity prices (oil and electricity prices) with particular focus on the recent COVID-19 crisis period. |
Decolonizing Mental Health Practice Through Traditional Healing Frameworks: Insights From Canada, China, Singapore, and the United States
| Pengarang | : | Ting, Rachel Sing-Kiat; Ansloos, Jeffrey; Lee, Boon-Ooi; Gone, Joseph P.; Kirmayer, Laurence J. |
| Nama Majalah/Jurnal | : | American Psychologist |
| Volume / Edisi | : | 80 (No. 4) |
| Halaman | : | 630-642 |
| Abstrak | : | Decolonial and liberation psychology aims to understand and address the social and epistemic injustices in our mental health systems, practices, and research agenda. To advance this goal, we advocate for deeper engagement with traditional healing systems practiced by various Indigenous Peoples and cultural groups around the world. In this article, we consider examples of Indigenous healing from Canada, China, Singapore, and the United States, to address a central question: What can we learn from these unique Indigenous healing traditions to inform mental health practices globally? Comparison shows that all these practices involve communal healing rituals grounded in spiritual, religious, and cultural knowledge systems related to embodied ways of knowing and that are embedded in social–ecological systems, including kinship, ancestral ties, and filial connections to the cosmology. To support further development of decolonial practice, it is crucial to attend to the complex interactions of cultural identity and sociocultural (relational, communal, political, and spiritual) factors underlying healing traditions in Indigenous communities. |
Black, indigenous, and people of color trans and nonbinary liberation: A transcestral journey of critical consciousness, reckoning, and healing.
| Pengarang | : | Singh, Anneliese; Awachie, Tochukwu. |
| Nama Majalah/Jurnal | : | American Psychologist |
| Volume / Edisi | : | 80 (No. 4) |
| Halaman | : | 618-629 |
| Abstrak | : | his article presents 10 guiding principles for Black, Indigenous, and People of Color (BIPOC) trans and nonbinary (TNB) healing and liberation to both strengthen psychologist support of BIPOC TNB communities and transform a colonized psychology. In doing so, we ground BIPOC TNB communities in liberation psychology tenets, interdisciplinary scholarship, and community organizing approaches to healing. The 10 guiding principles explore how BIPOC TNB communities center our healing in legacies of decolonization and liberation, cultivating critical consciousness, and recovering historical memory. Throughout, we discuss our personal journeys of edification and resistance as they inform our professional approaches to BIPOC TNB liberation. We also offer specific recommendations for the liberatory transformation of psychology training, practice, and advocacy. |
Estimating density ratio of marginals to joint: applications to causal inference
| Pengarang | : | - |
| Nama Majalah/Jurnal | : | Journal of Business and Economic Statistics |
| Volume / Edisi | : | 41 (No. 2) |
| Halaman | : | 467-481 |
| Abstrak | : | In various fields of data science, researchers often face problems of estimating the ratios of two probability densities. Particularly in the context of causal inference, the product of marginals for a treatment variable and covariates to their joint density ratio typically emerges in the process of constructing causal effect estimators. This article applies the general least square density ratio estimation methodology by Kanamori, Hido and Sugiyama to the product of marginals to joint density ratio, and demonstrates its usefulness particularly for causal inference on continuous treatment effects and dose-response curves. The proposed method is illustrated by a simulation study and an empirical example to investigate the treatment effect of political advertisements in the U.S. presidential campaign data. |