| Nama Pengarang | : | - |
| Nama Majalah/Jurnal | : | Bies: Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies |
| Volume / Nomor Edisi | : | - |
| Nomor Halaman | : | 289-311 |
| Abstraksi Narasi | : | Most existing projection models forecast that Indonesia will become a net importer of increasing amounts of basic cereals such as rice, maize and wheat, implicitly providing grounds for the government is continuing pursuit of food self-sufficiency at any cost. A growing urban population, increases in income per capita, trends in planted area and new technologies are determining factors used in these models. The present paper employs a scenario approach based on a combination of time series models, qualitative assessments and a cross-country analogy with Malaysia to build a picture of likely food cereal production and consumption patterns in 2020. Consequent levels of imports are calculated and estimates of their weight in the Indonesian economy are presented, comparing four periods: 1975, 1990, 2005 and 2020. These estimates are then used in considering policy issues related to food security and self-sufficiency. |
| Nama Pengarang | : | - |
| Nama Majalah/Jurnal | : | Bies: Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies |
| Volume / Nomor Edisi | : | - |
| Nomor Halaman | : | 263-287 |
| Abstraksi Narasi | : | Catches of shark and ray are considered important in Indonesian fisheries. Anecdotal evidence suggests that these fisheries may be over-exploited, but catches of shark and ray may be critical to their economic viability and the welfare of fishing communities dependent on them. Through a case study in Cilacap, Central Java, this paper assesses the potential economic and social impact on fishers and their households of restrictions on shark and ray catch. It reveals that shark and ray represent a minor component of individual boats and the flow of fishing households would be minimal. However, inclusion of non-monetary costs in the analysis reveals that net returns to boat owners are negative. Shark and ray catch reductions will add further losses, and downstream activities such as processing of shark and ray products could imply an amplified aggregate impact. |
| Nama Pengarang | : | - |
| Nama Majalah/Jurnal | : | Bies: Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies |
| Volume / Nomor Edisi | : | - |
| Nomor Halaman | : | 209-238 |
| Abstraksi Narasi | : | In an integrated global economy, specialization in trade is an increasingly prominent strategy. A labour-abundant, resource-rich economy like Indonesia faces stiff competition in labour-intensive manufactures; meanwhile; rapid growth in demand for resources from China and India exposes it to the `curse` or resource wealth. This diminishes prospects for more diversified growth based on renewable resources like human capital. Using an international panel data set we explore the influence of resource wealth, foreign direct investment and human capital on the share of skill-intensive products in exports. FDI and human capital increase this share; resource wealth diminishes it. We use the results to compare Indonesia with Thailand and Malaysia. Indonesia`s reliance on skill-intensive exports would have been greater had it achieved higher levels of FDI and skills. Its performance in accumulating these endowments, and its relative resource abundance, impede diversification in production and trade. We present policy options flowing from these findings. |
| Nama Pengarang | : | Tim Lindsey, Simon Butt, Ian Coxhead, Muqun Li, Simon Vieira, Malcolm Tull, Ian Coxhead, Muqun Li |
| Nama Majalah/Jurnal | : | Bies: Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies |
| Volume / Nomor Edisi | : | - |
| Nomor Halaman | : | 239-261 |
| Abstraksi Narasi | : | Article 33 of Indonesia`s Constitution requires the state to `control` important branches of production and natural resources. The meaning of ` control` has been a matter of significant debate since Indonesia`s independence: does it require the state to manage directly, or is regulation enough? The government has recently sought to break down government monopolies and attract private investment in key sectors. To this end it has enacted a raft of new statutes, but they have been challenged in Indonesia`s new Constitutional Court. The Court has opted for the ` direct management` interpretation of article 33, striking down statutes that implicitly interpret it as requiring government regulation only. This paper discusses these decisions and, more broadly, problems arising from judicial intervention in economic polity formation. It also considers how the government has sought to circumvent the decisions, and the possible consequences of state non-compliance for the Court`s future. |
| Nama Pengarang | : | - |
| Nama Majalah/Jurnal | : | Bies: Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies |
| Volume / Nomor Edisi | : | - |
| Nomor Halaman | : | 7-32 |
| Abstraksi Narasi | : | Deskripsi abstrak ringkas tidak tersedia untuk artikel ini. |
| Nama Pengarang | : | - |
| Nama Majalah/Jurnal | : | Bies: Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies |
| Volume / Nomor Edisi | : | - |
| Nomor Halaman | : | 45-63 |
| Abstraksi Narasi | : | One of the reasons often for government policies that promote higher rice prices is the desire to protect farmers and to reduce poverty, particularly in rural areas. the underlying assumption is that farmers benefit from higher rice prices and that helping farmers will reduce proverty since the majority of the rural poor are connected in some way agriculture. this paper examines the evidence underlying this assumption. I show that only around a quarter of all households plant rice. A large majority of the population, including in rural areas, consume more rice than they produce and most are therefore harmed by higher rice prices. Those that gain from higher prices tend to be farmers with access to slightly larger plots of land. thus an increase in the rice price constitutes a transfer from the large majority of consumers to a minority of procedures at all income levels. |
| Nama Pengarang | : | - |
| Nama Majalah/Jurnal | : | Bies: Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies |
| Volume / Nomor Edisi | : | - |
| Nomor Halaman | : | 33-44 |
| Abstraksi Narasi | : | Deskripsi abstrak ringkas tidak tersedia untuk artikel ini. |
| Nama Pengarang | : | - |
| Nama Majalah/Jurnal | : | Bies: Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies |
| Volume / Nomor Edisi | : | - |
| Nomor Halaman | : | 151-156 |
| Abstraksi Narasi | : | Deskripsi abstrak ringkas tidak tersedia untuk artikel ini. |
| Nama Pengarang | : | - |
| Nama Majalah/Jurnal | : | Bies: Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies |
| Volume / Nomor Edisi | : | - |
| Nomor Halaman | : | 65-79 |
| Abstraksi Narasi | : | Indonesian rice production grew rapidly between 1977 and 1982, but the self sufficiency achieved in 1984 was short-lived. growth declined gradually from about 1982, eventually stabiliwsing at a low rate in the late 1990s. This paper discusses factors that have influenced these outcomes over the last five decades, in an attempt to inform policy makers interested in trying to restore self-sufficiency. The earlier experience showed that self-sufficiency was technically feasible, but also that is achievement was costly, both fiscally and in economic opportunities forgone. Little appears to have changed in this regard, and recent attempts to shift cost to consumers by raising rice prices have increased poverty. We show that increases in rice production could best be achieved by rehabilitating irrigation infrastructure and revatilising research and extension activities. however, large investments by the government in rice should not be undertaken in the absence of through economic cost-benefit analysis. |
| Nama Pengarang | : | - |
| Nama Majalah/Jurnal | : | Bies: Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies |
| Volume / Nomor Edisi | : | - |
| Nomor Halaman | : | 93-114 |
| Abstraksi Narasi | : | The importance of food commodities to consumers and farmers leads most countries to attempt to influence the levels and stability of food prices. The specific policies adopted and the degree of price stabilisation actually achieved vary considerably across countries, however. this paper reviews the experience of four countries (China, India, bangladesh and Madagascar) that have implemented explicit price stabilisation and food security policies. Several polcy lessons emerge from the analysis, including the potential savings to be made through reliance on international trade rather than buffer stocks; the likelihood of efficiency gains from relying more heavily on market mechanisms, the need to maintain transparency of policies, and the high cost of untargeted public distribution programs. |
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