| Nama Pengarang | : | - |
| Nama Majalah/Jurnal | : | Bies: Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies |
| Volume / Nomor Edisi | : | - |
| Nomor Halaman | : | 3-42 |
| Abstraksi Narasi | : | All eyes recently have been on the Minister for Research and Technology and his vision of `technological leapfrogging` as the preferred development path for Indonesia to follow. The early fears that he would sweep all before him following the disappearance of several key technocrats from the cabinet seem to have given way, however, to a belief that the successful policies of the last decade will be continued--- albeit with occasional aberrations. In retrospect, the economy is now seen to have performed remarkably well during 1992, despite fears at the time that monetary constrains was in danger of seriously dampening growth. The remarkable expansion of labour-intensive exports continued unabated, and even the agricultural sector made a solid contribution to output growth. Most of the signs remained promising in the first few months of 1993, although by June the government had yet to demonstrate a clear sense of direction following the formation of the new cabinet in March. This created some unease among observers in general and the business community in particular, but its significance should not be overrated. Inflation jumped early in the year as a result of big increases in some important administered prices, but underlying inflation is again well under control. Interest rates have fallen back to pre-boom levels, although they remain high relative to those internationally. The balance of payments continues strongly in surplus, thanks largely to rapid depreciation of the rupiah against the yen and other important currencies. International reserves are so high that it may now be appropriate for the rupiah to start appreciating against the dollar. The banking sector has been undergoing dramatic changes in the last four or five years as a result of deregulation, and seems to have weathered the storm of the Bank Summa liquidation and other lesser banking crises. Some of the state banks, however, are facing enormous problems with bad debts, and the central bank has had to soften its regulatory prudential standards to help them comply, for fear they would cease lending and thus put a brake on economic activity. Much of the problem of bad debts for both state and private banks can be traced to weaknesses in the legal system, the reform of which proceeds slowly. |
| Nama Pengarang | : | - |
| Nama Majalah/Jurnal | : | Bies: Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies |
| Volume / Nomor Edisi | : | - |
| Nomor Halaman | : | 59-95 |
| Abstraksi Narasi | : | This paper examines the evolution of the Indonesian industrial relations system and labour welfare in the New Order period, giving special attention to labour policies and unrest in the 1980s and early 1990s. The tightly controlled industrial relations system which emerged after 1965 is contrasted with the labour activism of the Sukarno era. It is argued that the greater de facto freedoms granted to industrial labour in recent years are an inevitable outcome of growing political openness, concentration of industrial labour around Jakarta and the vulnerability of new industries to domestic and international criticism of labour conditions. It is also contended that intensified labour action is unlikely to bring about a general improvement in worker welfare, although it can overcome some of the worst abuses of labour laws. |
| Nama Pengarang | : | - |
| Nama Majalah/Jurnal | : | Bies: Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies |
| Volume / Nomor Edisi | : | - |
| Nomor Halaman | : | 129-140 |
| Abstraksi Narasi | : | - |
| Nama Pengarang | : | - |
| Nama Majalah/Jurnal | : | Bies: Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies |
| Volume / Nomor Edisi | : | - |
| Nomor Halaman | : | 97-128 |
| Abstraksi Narasi | : | This paper reviews Indonesia`s record of monetary management over the last quarter century, showing that there has been a lack of stability in money growth, and that average growth rates have been higher than is consistent with low inflation. The source of monetary expansion is colated primarily in growth of base money, which is here disaggregated into three components reflecting government policy in respect of the budget, the exchange rate, and interest rates, respectively. Exchange rate policy, through its effect on the balance of payments, is shown to have been the main cause of rapid and unstable monetary growth during this period. A contrast is also drawn between the author`s preferred technique of analysing monetary mevements and the `accounting approach`, based on money formation tables and favoured by previous writers in this field. |
| Nama Pengarang | : | Azis, Iwan J., Ross H. McLeod, Gustav F. Papanek, Manning, Chris, Ross H. McLeod |
| Nama Majalah/Jurnal | : | Bies: Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies |
| Volume / Nomor Edisi | : | - |
| Nomor Halaman | : | 43-58 |
| Abstraksi Narasi | : | This paper presents an ex-ante medium-term forecast of the Indonesian economy (1991-97) based on a yearly macro-econometric model developed by the author at the University of Indonesia. The model uses a combined supply and demand framework and reflects a mixture of Keynesian, monetarist and classical approaches. The paper explains the model structure and the assumptions adopted in the projection, and presents the results of the forecast. Discussion of results emphasises selected variables considered important in the country`s macroeconomic affairs. The short-term trend for 1991-93 is also briefly discussed. |
| Nama Pengarang | : | - |
| Nama Majalah/Jurnal | : | Bies: Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies |
| Volume / Nomor Edisi | : | - |
| Nomor Halaman | : | 5-34 |
| Abstraksi Narasi | : | - |
| Nama Pengarang | : | - |
| Nama Majalah/Jurnal | : | Bies: Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies |
| Volume / Nomor Edisi | : | - |
| Nomor Halaman | : | 105-123 |
| Abstraksi Narasi | : | This paper summarises the methodology, results and lessons of a research program undertaken between 1989 and 1991 on the private rice marketing system in Indonesia. A method of linked interviews, starting from farmers, gave results in the two main areas of seasonal volume flows and competition in rice marketing channels. Sample survey results were used to interpret seasonality in the aggregate rice market. It is concluded that price stabilisation remains a valid policy objective in Indonesia, but that targeted interventions could substantially reduce the cost of achieving this goal. |
| Nama Pengarang | : | - |
| Nama Majalah/Jurnal | : | Bies: Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies |
| Volume / Nomor Edisi | : | - |
| Nomor Halaman | : | 35-52 |
| Abstraksi Narasi | : | Mohammad Sadli, Professor Emeritus in the University of Indonesia`s Faculty of Economics and Chairman of the Institute for Research and Development (LP3E) of the Indonesian Chamber of Commerce and Industry (Kadin), is one of the group of economists who fashioned Indonesian economic policy under the New Order government after it took power in 1965. He was Chairman of the Tecnical Committee for Capital Investment (1967-73), Minister of Manpower (1971-73), Minister of Mining (1973-78), Secretary-General of Kadin, and later LP3E-Kadin`s first director. Despite retiring from the University in 1987, Professor Sadli continues to write and give seminars in Indonesia and abroad. In 1992 he granted an interview to Thee Kian Wie and Chris Manning of the BIES Editorial Board, and discussed his career, economic policy formulation in the early years of the New Order, and issues such as foreign investment, manpower and labour relations, the 1975 Pertanima crisis and government-private sector interaction. |
| Nama Pengarang | : | - |
| Nama Majalah/Jurnal | : | Bies: Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies |
| Volume / Nomor Edisi | : | - |
| Nomor Halaman | : | 85-104 |
| Abstraksi Narasi | : | As part of its comprehensive 1984 tax reform, the government of Indonesia undertook a radical overhaul of the property tax system. The reform was carried out in two stages. The first entailed a major revision of the legal structure during which seven land-related taxes were replaced with a single Land and Building Tax in 1986. The second stage involved a major restructuring to the tax administration and its procedures. In addition to reorganising the tax department, the government adopted a collection-led implementation strategy for its reform activities and introduced a number of innovative procedures for property tax collection and enforcement, property information collection and management , and property valuation and assessment. This paper provides an analysis of that reform effort. |
| Nama Pengarang | : | Booth, Anne, Roy Kelly, Mohammad Sadli, Frank Ellis, Sjahrir, Macintyre, Andrew |
| Nama Majalah/Jurnal | : | Bies: Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies |
| Volume / Nomor Edisi | : | - |
| Nomor Halaman | : | 53-84 |
| Abstraksi Narasi | : | A confusing aspect of the now rather large literature on trends in poverty in Indonesia in the New Order period is that virtually every study has used a different poverty line concept; indeed, even the World Bank appears to have used different poverty lines in different published studies and unpublished reports. Unlike the government of Malaysia, for example, the Indonesian government has not chosen to promulgate a poverty line in its official planning documents, and successive Five Year Development Plans have had very little to say about poverty trends. However, the Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS) has in recent years put forward its own poverty line concept which has been used to estimate numbers in poverty in urban and rural areas, and these estimates have been published for some years in the annual Indikator Kesejahteraan Rakyat [Welfare Indicators]. Although the BPS estimates are now widely quoted in Indonesia, they have not won universal acceptance, and other derive different conclusions regarding the extent of poverty in Indonesia, the regional distribution of the poor and trends in poverty over time. One purpose of this paper is to review critically these different poverty concepts and to explain why they have produced different results. A second aim is to compare the Indonesian poverty line estimates with those from neighbouring ASEAN countries. Finally, some suggestions will be made on possible new initiatives in poverty research in Indonesia. |
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